Confessions Of A Political Junkie: One More Thing On The Poll

September 04, 2004

One More Thing On The Poll

While the Newsweek numbers look great, remember one thing. Those numbers are with registered voters. Republicans usually do better in likely voter polls simply because more Democrats are registered to vote and more Republicans are likely to vote.

In every poll so far, Bush has had a stronger lead in surveys of likely voters than of registered voters. So, if this poll has a 13 point lead, I bet it would have a stronger lead in a likely voter survey.

Posted by Erick at September 4, 2004 05:47 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Erick - that's exactly the same comment I made on another blog (Poliblog?) The news is actually much worse for Team Kerry.

Posted by: Eric Lindholm at September 4, 2004 09:41 PM
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